(Bloomberg Businessweek) -- President Donald Trump’s reelection chances began falling in the spring, when the coronavirus tore through Northeastern states. But the current Sunbelt surge of coronavirus cases and deaths poses a direr threat to Trump—one that could ultimately cost him a second term. As the virus outbreak shifted from the Northeast to the Sunbelt, it moved from blue states Trump doesn’t need to carry to red states such as Arizona, Florida, and Texas that are critical to his reelection hopes.

New polling from Gallup highlights how anxiety about Covid-19 has spiked in the areas where the virus is strongest. In April, when the hardest-hit states were in New England and the mid-Atlantic region, Gallup found that worries about the availability of coronavirus testing and hospital beds were higher there than in the rest of the country. For instance, nearly two-thirds (64%) of respondents in the Northeast worried that they wouldn’t be able to get an ICU bed if they became ill. 

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